Reading girl, sculpture by Pietro Magni Girls' formal education has traditionally been considered far less important than that of boys. The authors do not discuss the possible ambiguity in the question and conclude that her answer is correct from a mathematical perspective, given the assumptions that the likelihood of a child being a boy or girl is equal, and that the sex of the second child is independent of the first. Remarkably, Henry VIII 's widow, Catherine Parr , took an interest in the high intelligence of Elizabeth, and supported the decision to provide her with an impressive education after Henry's death, starting when Elizabeth was 9. What evidence would make you happier about your investment? Smith selected the child companion at random. Smith is the father of two. England reaped the reward of her rich education when circumstances resulted in her becoming a capable monarch. Smith's other child is also a boy? Discovering that he has at least one boy rules out the event GG.
Following the execution of her mother, Anne Boleyn , Elizabeth was considered illegitimate. They imagine a culture in which boys are invariably chosen over girls as walking companions. Now for the numbers. These positive uses mean gender rather than age. Smith identifies the boy as his son, we know only that he is either the father of two boys, BB, or of two girls, GG, or of one of each in either birth order, i. The status of girls throughout world history is closely related to the status of women in any culture. The earliest known appearance of girl-friend is in and girl next door , meant as a teenaged female or young woman with a kind of wholesome appeal, dates only to Girls and women in Ancient Egypt enjoyed a relatively high social status. Reading girl, sculpture by Pietro Magni Girls' formal education has traditionally been considered far less important than that of boys. Since then, compulsory education laws have raised the education of girls and young women throughout Europe. Hence, this usage is often deprecative. Variants of the question[ edit ] Following the popularization of the paradox by Gardner it has been presented and discussed in various forms. The Bayesian analysis generalizes easily to the case in which we relax the If we have no information about the populations then we assume a "flat prior", i. So the answer is 1 in 3. It has been used playfully for people acting in an energetic fashion Canadian singer Nelly Furtado 's " Promiscuous Girl " or as a way of unifying women of all ages on the basis of their once having been girls American country singer Martina McBride 's " This One's for the Girls ". What is the probability that Mr. The authors conclude that, although the assumptions of the question run counter to observations, the paradox still has pedagogical value, since it "illustrates one of the more intriguing applications of conditional probability. This was often done by teaching different subjects to each sex, especially since tertiary education was considered primarily for males, particularly with regard to technical education. You tell her that you want only a male, and she telephones the fellow who's giving them a bath. Discovering that he has at least one boy rules out the event GG. Smith selected the child companion at random. What is the probability that the other one is a male? In response to reader response that questioned her analysis vos Savant conducted a survey of readers with exactly two children, at least one of which is a boy. If we bet on one child and win, the value of your investment has doubled. From Bayes' Theorem that the probability of two boys, given that one boy was born on a Tuesday is given by:
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